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岳陽翻譯公司關鍵字：But the short term, "American 911 event" on the U.S. economy will inevitably adversely affect, Credit Suisse First Boston estimates that this event will in the third and fourth quarter U.S. gross domestic product, respectively, from the previous quarter down 0.8%, but the "economists" believe that if given that the U.S. has taken the loose monetary and fiscal policy專業翻譯公司收費價格, oil prices were relatively stable and the impact of reconstruction, this estimate may be too high.
Third, the impact on the world economy"American 911 event" of the U.S. economy through trade, capital flows and exchange rates, international market prices and financial market contagion spread to four channels of the world, affecting the global economy. But as long as the international community to take measures to coordinate action to stabilize the international financial market and commodity markets, boost confidence, stimulate the domestic demand to increase the intensity of the war on terrorism to prevent terrorist activities and limit the spread of "American 911 event" on the world economy impact can be limited to a certain extent.
1. From the trade perspective, the "911 incident" occurred, the U.S. closed all the crossings and part of the border with Mexico temporarily suspended all countries and regions with the global trade and logistics, rely heavily on the U.S. market, Canada, Mexico and other countries greater impact on exports. United States has been accounted for in the international market, the most important position, and its imports accounted for about 25% of global trade. U.S. economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 recession, its imports will inevitably decline, thus affecting global trade, but the degree of influence of the various regions are not consistent. North America, Japan, Latin America, Southeast Asian countries affected by large Japanese exports to the U.S. one-third of its total exports; Latin America, Southeast Asia's economy is heavily dependent on exports to the U.S., especially the export of electronic products for more than half of the United States, according to Goldman Sachs the company estimates that since 1997, half of the Southeast Asian economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 growth driven by exports to the U.S.. EU trade in the United States accounted for about 8% of total trade, compared to Japan, Latin America, Southeast Asia countries are less affected.
2. From capital flows and exchange rates see, "American 911 event" will affect the adjustment of major currencies, changes in capital flows, international capital will flow relatively fast economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 development, social stability, a relatively moderate foreign policies of countries and regions such as Europe. The relative stability of European economies and the euro cash in circulation up to help the euro exchange rate stability, and thus increase the attractiveness of the EU's international capital inflows, the appreciation of the euro also makes imported goods prices, lower inflation, increased loose monetary ECB policy專業翻譯公司收費價格 space to stimulate economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 growth. Currently, the U.S. dollar against the euro from 1 euro $ 0.90 to 1 euro depreciation of about $ 0.93. The short term, but also show an upward trend in the yen, the dollar exchange rate against the yen from 122 yen against the U.S. dollar depreciated to about one U.S. dollar to 117 yen, the dollar's depreciation rate is not great.
3. From the financial market, now the world's stock markets are volatile and fluctuate with Wall Street, hedge funds may also took the opportunity to stir up trouble. U.S. stocks fell, stock markets in other countries is difficult to pick up the stock market slump will inevitably affect the confidence of international investors and consumers. "911 incident" occurred when the week, the Tokyo stock market fell 4.8%, down 6.2% in London, Paris fell 11.4%, down 12.3% in Frankfurt, the most affected airline's shares fell even more sharply, British Airways, Lufthansa and Air France share prices have fallen more than 30%. In the U.S. stock market the day after the market opened, the world's major stock markets outside the United States have rebounded, the European stock market has risen about 3%, followed by a few days and volatility, the U.S. stock market shows that people continue to wait and see attitude. In addition, the Asian financial crisis, international speculative fund in the adjustment, the loss is more serious, the current international economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 and political environment might increase the speculative space, increasing the risk of financial markets.
4. The price of strategic commodities from the international perspective, the "911 incident" occurred, oil, gold, nonferrous metals and other commodity prices have been rising rapidly. Day, London Brent crude futures rose to $ 31.15 a barrel, up $ 3.2, to the highest level since December last year. But after a few days, the prices of basic commodities such strategies to restore stability, oil prices have come down to the level before the incident. The terrorist attacks did not affect the global oil supply, oil prices is due entirely to the terrorist attacks of uncertainty and the psychological fear caused. World economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 history shows that oil prices and world economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 growth are closely related, each large-scale economic專業翻譯公司服務最好的 recession and oil prices are related. If substantial changes in oil prices does not occur, "911 Incident" adverse impact on the world economy will not be too much.
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